Why does my ETF fall when the news isn't about my companies?
Because an ETF doesn't own headlines, it owns companies, and companies are linked to each other by things that never appear in the headline: the cost of money, the exchange rate and the supply chain. A story that names none of your companies can move all three.
First channel: the cost of money
When interest rates rise, the value of anything that promises profits in the future changes — and shares are exactly that. A company that will earn money ten years from now is worth less today if, in the meantime, simply holding cash pays more.
That is why a US inflation figure moves European stock markets even when it names not a single European company: it has changed the price of time, and the price of time sits inside the value of every share you own.
Second channel: the currency
If your ETF holds US companies and you measure everything in your home currency, your result depends on two things: what those companies are worth, and what the dollar is worth. The dollar can fall while the companies rise, and you still see red.
It works in reverse for exporters: a strong home currency makes their products dearer abroad, and the market prices that in immediately, long before the quarterly accounts show it.
Third channel: the supply chain
Companies buy from each other. A chip plant halting on the other side of the world touches carmakers, appliance makers and server builders — even if the story only mentions chips.
It is the hardest channel to see by eye, because it requires knowing not what a company does, but who it depends on. That is exactly the work MarketMind does: following the chain from the event all the way to what you actually own.
In short
- An ETF owns companies, and companies are linked by rates, currency and supply chains.
- Rates change the value of every future profit, so of every share.
- Currency can cost you money even when the companies are rising.
- Supply chains connect sectors that never appear in the headline.
Ask MarketMind about today's markets
Get the cause-and-effect chain behind any event, explained step by step.
Related guides
Educational content only. MarketMind explains what happens and why; it never gives investment advice. Read this guide in Italian.